Keith,
take another look at the picture you posted the link to. I have no idea what the depth of the water was, but it is beautiful example of why the laser does NOT hit the same point. The entry angles and the exit angles are EXACTLY the same, BUT....the reflected image is MOVED because of the refractive effect of the water. If you were to shoot based on the laser line of exit, you would a distance off based on the separation of the 2 lines of light. That is not an exact equivalent of mirage, since air is not as dense as water, but relativistically, it is the same. There is no way to get a real picture of the target with the equipment we are using. We are always looking at bended light, even when there is no apparent mirage. the key is to understand that, believe it, and use it to our advantage. the really good shooters do it, even if they do not know it.